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Opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the 2011 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 9th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 9 March 2008, to the day the next election was held, on 20 November 2011.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

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Nationwide polling

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Graphical summary

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Local regression trend line of poll results from 9 March 2008 to 20 November 2011, with each line corresponding to a political party.


Voting intention estimates

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The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP IU–LV CiU PNV UPyD ERC BNG CC Lead
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 — 68.9 28.8
110 		44.6
186 		6.9
11 		4.2
16 		1.3
5 		4.7
5 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		1.4
7 		15.8
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][2] 20 Nov 2011 190,000 ? 30.0
115/119 		43.5
181/185 		6.7
9/11 		3.4
13/15 		1.2
4/5 		4.3
3/4 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2/3 		1.4
6/7 		13.5
NC Report/La Razón[3][4] 20 Nov 2011 771 71.1 31.7
112/116 		45.5
186/192 		7.9
11 		3.3
13 		1.2
4/5 		2.4
2 		0.7
2 		1.0
2 		0.8
2/3 		?
4/5 		13.8
PP[5] 19 Nov 2011 ? ? ?
117 		?
191 		– – – – – – – – ?
Sigma Dos/The Times[6][7] 16 Nov 2011 ? ? 28.0
107 		48.0
200 		6.7
11 		3.1
12 		?
6 		3.8
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
4 		20.0
Infortécnica[8] 13 Nov 2011 ? ? ?
115/125 		?
190/200 		– – – – – ?
2 		– – ?
GESOP/El Periódico[9] 7–12 Nov 2011 2,070 ? 30.2
115/118 		46.2
188/192 		6.0
8/10 		3.2
13/14 		1.1
4/5 		4.4
4 		1.1
2/3 		– – 1.1
4/5 		16.0
Tábula V/La Gaceta[10] 7–11 Nov 2011 1,400 79 31.3
121/123 		45.2
184/187 		8.9
9/10 		3.2
11/13 		1.4
4/6 		3.2
2/3 		1.3
2/3 		0.8
1/2 		0.6
1/2 		1.6
4/6 		13.9
NC Report/La Razón[11][12] 27 Oct–11 Nov 2011 5,750 ? 31.0
115 		45.9
188 		7.2
11 		3.3
13 		1.3
5 		2.8
2 		0.9
2 		1.0
2 		0.8
3 		?
5 		14.9
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[13][14] 9–10 Nov 2011 1,000 ? 32.0 45.0 6.0 3.5 1.5 3.0 1.0 – – 1.0 13.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[15] 7–10 Nov 2011 1,275 >70 30.1
116/120 		44.7
184/189 		7.8
8/10 		3.3
12/14 		1.0
4/5 		4.6
3/4 		0.7
2 		– – 0.6
3/4 		14.6
Simple Lógica[16] 2–10 Nov 2011 1,009 73.7 31.2 46.1 5.5 3.5 0.6 3.7 – – – – 14.9
GAD3/COPE[17][18] 2–10 Nov 2011 1,395 ? 31.8
115/118 		45.4
188/192 		5.6
8 		3.3
13 		1.3
5/6 		3.4
3 		0.8
1 		0.8
2 		0.9
3 		1.4
4/5 		13.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[19][20] 28 Oct–10 Nov 2011 3,000 ? 29.8
112 		47.6
198 		5.7
7 		3.8
14 		1.3
5 		3.0
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		17.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[21] 28 Oct–9 Nov 2011 ? ? 31.6 47.1 5.3 3.6 0.7 2.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 – 15.5
Celeste-Tel[22] 2–8 Nov 2011 1,100 ? 31.5
118/120 		44.7
186/188 		7.0
9/10 		3.3
12/13 		1.3
5 		2.6
2 		0.9
2 		1.2
2 		0.9
3 		?
4/5 		13.2
Metroscopia/El País[23][24] 18 Oct–8 Nov 2011 9,675 70 30.9
110/113 		45.4
192/196 		8.8
11 		3.3
14 		1.2
5 		4.2
2 		0.9
3 		0.7
2 		0.3
2 		0.6
4/5 		14.5
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP[25][26] 2–7 Nov 2011 1,505 74.3 28.7 47.7 7.6 3.4 1.1 4.2 1.2 – – – 19.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[19] 3–6 Nov 2011 ? ? 30.1
114 		48.2
198 		5.4
6 		3.6
13 		1.3
5 		3.0
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		18.1
Ipsos/La Nueva España[27][28] 1–6 Nov 2011 3,935 ? 31.8
123/128 		44.5
184/190 		6.1
? 		3.4
? 		1.0
? 		4.1
? 		1.0
? 		0.7
? 		0.4
? 		0.9
? 		12.7
InvyMark/laSexta[29] 31 Oct–4 Nov 2011 ? ? 34.4 46.5 4.6 – – – – – – – 12.1
PP[30] 3 Nov 2011 ? ? ?
116 		?
189 		– – ?
4/5 		?
3 		– – – – ?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[31][32] 31 Oct–3 Nov 2011 3,000 ? 30.6
117 		47.6
194 		5.3
6 		3.5
13 		1.3
5 		3.0
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
3 		?
3 		17.0
DYM/ABC[33] 24 Oct–3 Nov 2011 7,612 ? 34.2
123/126 		45.5
187/188 		5.4
6/7 		3.6
12/14 		1.2
4 		2.8
2/3 		1.3
2 		0.6
1 		0.7
2/3 		1.3
5/6 		11.3
NC Report/La Razón[34][35] 24 Oct–3 Nov 2011 5,752 ? 31.3
119 		46.0
185 		?
11 		?
13 		?
6 		?
2 		?
1 		?
2 		?
3 		?
4 		14.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[36][37] 18–31 Oct 2011 3,000 ? 30.7
117 		47.4
193 		5.4
6 		3.5
13 		1.2
5 		3.1
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
3 		?
4 		16.7
GAD3/COPE[38][39] 17–31 Oct 2011 1,200 71 32.7
120/127 		45.2
182/189 		5.1
4/7 		3.3
11/14 		1.2
4/6 		3.4
2/3 		0.8
1 		0.8
2 		0.9
3 		1.4
3/5 		12.5
NC Report/La Razón[40] 28 Oct 2011 1,000 69.1 31.4
118/120 		45.9
184/187 		7.4
10/11 		2.9
12 		1.1
5 		2.8
2/3 		0.8
1 		1.3
3 		0.9
3 		?
5 		14.5
Celeste-Tel[22] 24–28 Oct 2011 1,100 ? 32.3
120/121 		46.1
186/188 		6.8
8/9 		3.3
12/13 		1.3
5 		2.8
2 		0.9
2 		1.2
3 		0.9
3 		?
4/5 		13.8
Metroscopia/El País[41] 24–27 Oct 2011 1,500 70 30.3 45.3 6.0 – – 4.2 – – – – 15.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[42][43] 27 Sep–27 Oct 2011 7,400 ? 31.0
119 		47.4
191 		5.3
6 		3.5
13 		1.1
5 		3.1
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
3 		?
4 		16.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[44][45] 11–24 Oct 2011 3,000 ? 31.3
121 		47.5
191 		5.3
6 		3.3
13 		1.1
5 		3.1
3 		0.8
1 		?
2 		?
2 		?
4 		16.2
CIS[46][47] 6–23 Oct 2011 17,236 ? 29.9
116/121 		46.6
190/195 		6.2
8 		3.3
13 		1.2
3 		2.9
3 		1.2
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		1.1
3 		16.7
NC Report/La Razón[48] 18–22 Oct 2011 1,000 68.6 31.2
116/118 		46.2
186/189 		7.2
10/11 		3.1
13 		1.0
4 		2.8
2/3 		0.7
1 		1.2
3 		0.9
3 		?
5/6 		15.0
InvyMark/laSexta[29] 18–21 Oct 2011 ? ? 35.1 45.4 4.2 – – – – – – – 10.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[49] 17–20 Oct 2011 1,800 ? 33.1 44.7 6.7 2.7 1.4 2.6 1.2 0.8 – 1.3 11.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[50][51] 7–20 Oct 2011 3,000 73.3 30.7
119 		47.8
194 		5.4
6 		3.4
13 		1.1
6 		3.2
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		17.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[52] 3–17 Oct 2011 3,300 ? 30.7
118 		47.9
195 		5.4
6 		3.4
13 		1.2
6 		2.9
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		17.2
Intercampo/GETS[53][54] 15 Sep–17 Oct 2011 1,724 Medium 32.2 46.3 4.9 2.8 1.0 4.4 1.1 – – – 14.1
High 31.0–
33.0 		45.0–
47.0 		4.5–
5.5 		2.6–
3.1 		0.9–
1.1 		4.0–
5.0 		0.8–
1.2 		– – – 14.0
Low 30.0–
32.0 		47.0–
49.0 		4.0–
5.0 		2.7–
3.1 		0.8–
1.2 		4.0–
5.0 		0.7–
1.0 		– – – 17.0
NC Report/La Razón[55] 14 Oct 2011 ? 68.3 30.9
115/117 		46.4
187/190 		7.0
10/11 		3.3
13/14 		1.2
4/5 		2.9
2/3 		0.7
1/2 		1.2
2/3 		0.9
3/4 		?
4/5 		15.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[56][57] 11–13 Oct 2011 900 ? 30.8
117 		48.0
196 		5.3
6 		3.4
13 		1.2
6 		3.0
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		17.2
Metroscopia/El País[58][59][60] 11–13 Oct 2011 1,500 70 29.7
115/120 		45.5
185/190 		7.6
? 		– – 4.5
? 		– – – – 15.8
Simple Lógica[16] 3–10 Oct 2011 ? ? 31.8 46.7 5.1 2.8 1.3 4.0 – – – – 14.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[61][62] 27 Sep–10 Oct 2011 3,600 ? 31.4
121 		47.6
193 		5.2
6 		3.3
13 		1.3
6 		3.0
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		16.2
Celeste-Tel/Terra[63][64] 3–8 Oct 2011 1,357 69.1 32.7
120/122 		45.5
185/187 		6.8
9/10 		3.3
12/13 		1.4
5/6 		3.0
2 		0.8
1 		1.3
3 		0.9
3 		1.3
4 		12.8
InvyMark/laSexta[65] 3–7 Oct 2011 ? ? 35.1 46.1 4.6 3.4 – – – – – – 11.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[66][67] 27 Sep–6 Oct 2011 3,000 ? 31.6
122 		47.8
193 		5.2
6 		3.2
12 		1.2
5 		2.9
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		16.2
NC Report/La Razón[68][69][70] 21 Sep–6 Oct 2011 6,100 ? 30.6
113/115 		45.9
183/185 		7.2
11/12 		3.6
14/15 		1.1
4/5 		2.9
2/3 		0.8
1/2 		1.1
2/3 		0.9
3/4 		?
5 		15.3
Noxa/La Vanguardia[71] 28 Sep–4 Oct 2011 1,272 ? 32.9
115/122 		45.9
186/192 		4.7
4 		3.2
11/12 		0.9
5/7 		3.6
2/4 		0.5
1/2 		– – 0.8
4 		13.0
CEMOP[72][73] 26 Sep–4 Oct 2011 800 76 32.4 46.8 6.3 3.6 1.4 3.1 1.3 – – – 14.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[74] 27–30 Sep 2011 2,000 ? 31.8 47.4 5.0 3.2 1.2 3.1 0.9 – – – 15.6
Celeste-Tel[63] 26–30 Sep 2011 1,100 ? 32.1
120 		45.1
183 		7.0
11 		3.5
13 		1.2
5 		2.9
2 		0.8
1 		1.3
3 		1.0
2 		– 13.0
PP[75][76] 29 Sep 2011 ? ? ?
115 		?
189 		?
8 		?
14 		?
6 		?
3 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
4 		?
NC Report/La Razón[77] 21–28 Sep 2011 1,000 70.0 30.6
116/118 		46.1
183/185 		6.8
10/12 		3.6
13/15 		1.1
5/6 		3.0
2/3 		0.8
1/2 		1.0
2/3 		0.9
3/4 		?
5/6 		15.5
Celeste-Tel[63] 19–23 Sep 2011 1,100 ? 31.3
121 		44.0
179 		7.4
11 		3.6
14 		1.1
4 		2.9
3 		0.8
1 		1.4
3 		1.0
2 		– 12.7
InvyMark/laSexta[65] 19–23 Sep 2011 ? ? 35.3 45.9 4.5 3.4 – – – – – – 10.6
GESOP/El Periódico[78][79][80] 19–22 Sep 2011 1,000 ? 31.4
121/125 		46.1
185/189 		4.7
4/6 		3.7
14/15 		1.0
4/5 		5.0
4/6 		1.0
1/2 		– – – 14.7
Celeste-Tel[81] 12–16 Sep 2011 1,100 ? 31.5
128 		44.2
176 		6.9
9 		3.8
14 		1.2
5 		2.9
3 		0.7
1 		1.2
3 		1.0
2 		– 12.7
InvyMark/laSexta[82] 5–9 Sep 2011 ? ? 35.5 45.8 – – – – – – – – 10.3
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[83][84] 7–8 Sep 2011 1,000 ? 32.0 45.0 6.5 4.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 – – – 13.0
Metroscopia/El País[85][86] 7–8 Sep 2011 1,002 70 30.7 44.8 6.2 3.3 – 4.4 – – – – 14.1
Simple Lógica[16] 1–8 Sep 2011 1,022 ? 32.9 46.7 5.2 2.5 0.9 3.8 – – – – 13.8
GAD3/COPE[87][88] 5–6 Sep 2011 504 ? 31.1
128 		45.1
179 		6.1
8 		3.4
13 		1.1
6 		3.9
4 		0.7
1 		0.8
2 		0.3
2 		– 14.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[89] 29 Aug–1 Sep 2011 1,000 ? 32.3 47.1 5.0 3.2 1.2 3.5 0.6 – – – 14.8
NC Report/La Razón[90] 28 Aug 2011 ? 69.5 30.8
117/119 		46.5
182/185 		6.2
6/7 		3.8
14/16 		1.2
5/6 		3.2
3/4 		0.7
1/2 		1.0
2/3 		0.6
1/2 		?
4 		15.7
Simple Lógica[16] 2–10 Aug 2011 1,014 ? 31.5 44.8 4.3 3.0 1.0 4.8 – – – – 13.3
DYM/ABC[91] 2–3 Aug 2011 1,076 ? 35.0 47.6 4.7 3.5 1.3 1.8 0.5 – – 2.0 12.6
NC Report/La Razón[92] 29–30 Jul 2011 1,000 69.3 30.9
118/121 		46.9
183/186 		6.6
7/8 		3.8
12/14 		1.2
5/6 		3.2
4 		0.9
2 		1.0
3 		0.6
1 		?
4 		16.0
Metroscopia/El País[93][94] 27–28 Jul 2011 1,203 70 30.8 44.8 6.6 – – 3.8 – – – – 14.0
Simple Lógica[16] 4–12 Jul 2011 ? ? 30.8 46.3 5.1 2.3 0.8 4.3 – – – – 15.5
CIS[95][96] 4–11 Jul 2011 2,475 ? 36.0 43.1 5.1 3.1 1.0 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.5 – 7.1
Ipsos[97] 27 Jun–8 Jul 2011 ? ? 36.0 44.2 4.4 2.8 1.4 2.4 0.6 1.1 – 1.2 8.2
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Jul 2011 1,100 ? 34.3
139 		44.2
170 		5.9
6 		3.9
14 		1.2
5 		3.2
3 		0.6
1 		1.1
3 		1.0
2 		– 9.9
GAD/COPE[99][100] 1–5 Jul 2011 504 ? 30.9
120 		46.4
187 		6.1
10 		3.5
15 		1.1
6 		3.4
3 		0.7
1 		0.8
2 		0.3
2 		– 15.5
Metroscopia/El País[101][102] 29–30 Jun 2011 1,001 70 30.4 44.7 6.4 – – 3.2 – – – – 14.3
NC Report/La Razón[103][104] 26–30 Jun 2011 1,000 68.5 31.0
118/122 		47.1
182/185 		7.0
7/8 		3.7
12/13 		1.1
5 		3.3
4/5 		0.8
2 		1.0
3 		0.5
1 		?
4 		16.1
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[105] 20–21 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 38.0 47.0 3.5 3.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 – – – 9.0
GAD/COPE[106][107] 3–7 Jun 2011 501 ? 30.7
119 		46.6
189 		6.2
10 		3.6
16 		1.3
7 		3.2
3 		0.7
1 		0.8
2 		0.3
2 		– 15.9
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Jun 2011 1,100 ? 32.8
135 		45.5
173 		6.5
6 		3.9
15 		1.1
5 		3.1
3 		0.6
1 		1.1
3 		0.9
1 		– 12.7
Simple Lógica[16] 1–6 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 29.4 46.3 6.4 2.8 1.3 5.3 – – – – 16.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[108][109] 1–2 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 32.1 45.9 5.8 3.5 1.0 3.6 1.1 – – – 13.8
Metroscopia/El País[110][111] 1–2 Jun 2011 1,001 70 31.0 44.8 6.2 3.2 – 2.5 – – – – 13.8
NC Report/La Razón[112] 29 May–2 Jun 2011 1,000 68.6 31.5
120/123 		47.2
186/187 		6.4
7/8 		3.9
13/14 		1.2
5/6 		3.2
4/5 		0.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.7
2 		– 15.7
GESOP/El Periódico[113][114][115] 30 May–1 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 35.3
133/137 		44.0
176/180 		5.8
7/9 		3.0
12/13 		1.2
5/6 		4.1
4/5 		0.7
1 		– – – 8.7
2011 local elections 22 May 2011 — 66.2 27.8 37.5 7.4 3.5 1.4 2.1 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.4 9.7
Simple Lógica[16] 3–13 May 2011 1,016 ? 30.6 47.0 6.4 3.3 1.1 3.9 – – – – 16.4
Celeste-Tel[98] 2–6 May 2011 1,100 ? 32.0
133 		46.2
173 		6.8
6 		4.0
14 		1.3
5 		3.1
4 		0.6
2 		1.2
3 		0.8
1 		– 14.2
Metroscopia/El País[116][117] 27–28 Apr 2011 1,200 70 31.7 44.3 – – – – – – – – 12.6
Ikerfel/Vocento[118][119] 4–22 Apr 2011 45,635 ? 35.5 44.5 6.0 3.9 1.4 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 – 9.0
NC Report/La Razón[120] 18–20 Apr 2011 1,000 ? 31.8
122/125 		46.4
186/187 		6.6
7/9 		3.9
13/14 		1.3
7 		3.4
3/4 		0.6
1/2 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		– 14.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[121] 11–19 Apr 2011 2,005 ? 37.8 40.1 7.2 3.9 1.3 2.3 0.6 1.1 – – 2.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[122][123] 7–12 Apr 2011 3,000 72.0 30.5 45.5 – – – – – – – – 15.0
InvyMark/laSexta[124] 4–8 Apr 2011 ? ? 32.7 46.3 – – – – – – – – 13.6
CIS[125][126] 1–8 Apr 2011 2,463 ? 33.4 43.8 5.2 3.5 1.3 3.5 1.3 0.9 0.5 – 10.4
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[127][128] 6–7 Apr 2011 1,000 ? 35.0 47.0 4.3 3.5 0.7 1.5 2.0 – – – 12.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[129] 5–7 Apr 2011 1,000 ? 37.7 45.2 4.1 3.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 – – – 7.5
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Apr 2011 1,100 ? 32.3
136 		46.1
172 		6.6
7 		4.1
14 		1.2
6 		3.0
4 		0.6
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 13.8
GAD/COPE[130][131] 1–5 Apr 2011 500 ? 33.7
128 		45.9
181 		6.1
9 		3.7
15 		1.3
7 		2.9
3 		0.8
2 		0.8
2 		0.2
1 		– 12.2
NC Report/La Razón[132] 2 Apr 2011 1,000 67.6 31.6
123/124 		46.8
185/187 		6.6
8/10 		3.9
13/14 		1.3
7 		3.4
3/4 		0.6
1 		0.8
2 		0.6
1 		– 15.2
Metroscopia/El País[133][134] 30–31 Mar 2011 1,004 70 28.3 44.1 – – – – – – – – 15.8
InvyMark/laSexta[124] 21–25 Mar 2011 ? ? 32.5 46.4 – – – – – – – – 13.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[135] 21–24 Mar 2011 1,201 ? 30.2 43.5 8.1 3.7 1.7 4.8 0.6 1.3 – – 13.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[136][137] 21–22 Mar 2011 1,000 71.3 29.6 46.0 – – – – – – – – 16.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[138] 7–9 Mar 2011 1,000 ? 31.4 47.9 6.2 3.2 1.0 2.4 1.0 – – – 16.5
GAD/COPE[139] 7–9 Mar 2011 502 ? 31.1
121 		46.1
185 		6.5
11 		3.9
16 		1.3
7 		3.8
4 		0.8
2 		0.8
2 		0.2
1 		– 15.0
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Mar 2011 1,100 ? 32.9
138 		45.9
170 		6.5
8 		3.9
14 		1.2
6 		3.2
4 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 13.0
Metroscopia/El País[140][141] 2–3 Mar 2011 1,004 70 28.1 44.0 – – – – – – – – 15.9
JM&A[142] 25 Feb 2011 ? 68.9 28.9 47.5 6.3 4.4 1.1 4.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 – 22.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[143] 21–25 Feb 2011 1,982 ? 30.7 44.4 7.1 3.8 1.3 4.3 0.9 1.3 – – 13.7
NC Report/La Razón[144] 17–23 Feb 2011 1,000 68.5 32.9
123/125 		46.0
184/187 		6.3
8/10 		3.8
13/14 		1.3
7 		3.3
3/4 		0.6
1 		0.8
2 		0.6
1 		– 13.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[145][146] 21–22 Feb 2011 ? 68.5 31.1 45.8 7.1 3.4 1.1 3.5 0.9 0.8 – – 14.7
InvyMark/laSexta[147] 7–11 Feb 2011 ? ? 32.3 46.1 – – – – – – – – 13.8
GAD/COPE[148][149] 7–8 Feb 2011 501 ? 32.1
125 		46.2
185 		6.3
9 		3.9
16 		1.3
7 		2.7
2 		0.8
2 		?
2 		?
1 		– 14.1
Celeste-Tel[150] 1–7 Feb 2011 1,100 ? 34.7
141 		45.0
171 		6.4
6 		4.0
14 		1.2
6 		3.3
4 		0.5
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 10.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[151] 2–3 Feb 2011 1,000 ? 31.3 47.4 8.1 2.9 1.1 2.2 0.9 – – – 16.1
Metroscopia/El País[152][153] 2–3 Feb 2011 1,005 70 28.4 43.3 – – – – – – – – 14.9
Opina/Cadena SER[154] 1–2 Feb 2011 1,000 ? 34.0 44.0 5.5 3.0 1.2 2.0 1.1 – – – 10.0
InvyMark/laSexta[147] 24–28 Jan 2011 ? ? 32.4 46.3 – – – – – – – – 13.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[155] 17–21 Jan 2011 2,082 ? 30.9 44.0 7.5 4.8 1.5 2.9 0.5 0.8 – – 13.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[156][157] 17–18 Jan 2011 ? 67.7 30.2 47.0 7.6 3.3 1.1 2.8 1.0 0.6 – – 16.8
CIS[158][159] 7–16 Jan 2011 2,478 ? 34.0 44.1 5.7 3.9 1.2 2.9 0.8 0.9 0.5 – 10.1
Opina/Cadena SER[160][161] 12–13 Jan 2011 1,000 ? 34.0 45.0 6.0 3.5 1.0 3.4 1.0 – – – 11.0
GAD/COPE[162][163] 10–11 Jan 2011 500 ? 31.3
120 		46.5
189 		6.2
9 		3.6
15 		1.4
7 		3.7
3 		0.8
2 		0.9
2 		0.4
2 		– 15.2
Celeste-Tel[150] 3–10 Jan 2011 1,100 ? 34.4
139 		45.2
172 		6.6
7 		4.0
14 		1.3
6 		3.5
4 		0.6
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 10.8
Metroscopia/El País[164][165] 3–4 Jan 2011 1,023 70 28.6 43.1 – – – – – – – – 14.5
NC Report/La Razón[166] 28–30 Dec 2010 1,000 67.0 30.4
121/123 		48.0
186/189 		7.4
10/12 		4.2
13/14 		1.2
7 		3.7
3/4 		0.6
1 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 17.6
DYM/ABC[167][168] 20–30 Dec 2010 1,058 ? 30.8 49.3 7.5 4.1 1.3 1.8 1.1 – – – 18.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[169][170] 23–28 Dec 2010 1,000 ? 30.3 48.7 6.4 3.8 1.2 1.5 0.9 – – – 18.4
GESOP/El Periódico[171][172] 15–17 Dec 2010 1,000 ? 31.0
120/124 		44.5
178/182 		7.4
13/15 		4.0
15/16 		1.1
5/6 		4.2
4/5 		1.0
1/2 		– – – 13.5
InvyMark/laSexta[173] 13–17 Dec 2010 ? ? 33.4 45.5 – – – – – – – – 12.1
JM&A[174] 16 Dec 2010 ? 65.0 24.3 47.0 8.0 4.0 – 6.0 – – – – 22.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[175] 13–16 Dec 2010 1,600 ? 30.0 43.2 7.5 4.5 1.6 4.5 0.9 1.0 – – 13.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[176] 13–14 Dec 2010 ? 70.3 30.5 46.1 7.4 3.6 1.0 3.3 0.9 0.7 – – 15.6
GAD/COPE[177] 13–14 Dec 2010 500 ? 31.7
123 		46.2
189 		5.9
8 		3.6
15 		1.4
7 		3.1
2 		0.7
1 		0.9
2 		0.4
2 		– 14.5
Celeste-Tel[150] 1–9 Dec 2010 1,100 ? 34.7
138 		44.8
173 		6.7
7 		4.1
14 		1.3
6 		3.5
4 		0.6
2 		1.1
3 		0.7
1 		– 10.1
NC Report/La Razón[178] 6–7 Dec 2010 1,000 67.6 30.6
124/125 		47.6
186/188 		7.6
10/14 		4.3
14/15 		1.2
7 		3.7
3/4 		0.9
1 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 17.0
InvyMark/laSexta[173] 29 Nov–3 Dec 2010 ? ? 33.3 45.6 – – – – – – – – 12.3
Metroscopia/El País[179][180] 1–2 Dec 2010 1,000 75.3 24.3 43.1 7.6 – – 4.3 – – – – 18.8
NC Report/La Razón[181] 15–17 Nov 2010 1,000 69.0 32.8
128/130 		46.3
179/182 		7.2
10/11 		4.2
14/15 		1.2
7 		3.4
3/4 		0.9
1/2 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 13.5
JM&A[174] 16 Nov 2010 ? 69.8 32.6 41.3 6.6 3.7 – 5.7 – – – – 8.7
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[182][183] 15–16 Nov 2010 ? 66.5 32.1 45.1 7.1 3.5 0.9 3.2 1.0 0.8 – – 13.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[184] 2–11 Nov 2010 2,402 ? 33.2 41.2 6.5 4.0 1.0 4.5 0.8 1.3 – – 8.0
GAD/COPE[185][186] 8–10 Nov 2010 503 ? 35.1
135 		44.7
180 		5.2
6 		3.4
13 		1.3
7 		2.9
2 		0.9
2 		0.9
2 		0.5
2 		– 9.6
Celeste-Tel[150] 2–8 Nov 2010 1,100 ? 34.8
138 		44.4
172 		6.9
8 		4.0
14 		1.2
6 		3.6
4 		0.6
2 		1.0
3 		0.6
1 		– 9.6
Metroscopia/El País[187][188] 2–4 Nov 2010 1,000 75.3 33.8 42.9 – – – – – – – – 9.1
Opina/Cadena SER[189][190] 28–29 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 37.5 45.0 5.5 3.5 1.0 3.4 1.0 – – – 7.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia[191] 25–28 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 33.0
133 		42.8
175 		6.6
7 		4.2
15 		1.9
9 		5.1
5 		0.6
2 		– – – 9.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[192][193] 21 Oct 2010 ? 70.0 34.2 44.3 – – – – – – – – 10.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[194][195] 20–21 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 33.8 46.4 6.1 3.3 1.3 1.9 1.0 – – – 12.6
Intercampo/GETS[196][197] 15 Sep–17 Oct 2010 1,734 High 32.4 47.6 6.8 4.4 1.3 2.7 0.5 – – – 15.2
Low 33.7 46.9 7.1 4.1 1.2 2.9 0.5 – – – 13.2
CIS[198][199] 4–14 Oct 2010 2,475 ? 34.3 42.2 6.2 3.5 1.2 4.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 – 7.9
JM&A[174] 13 Oct 2010 ? 68.2 29.2 45.9 6.8 3.0 – 5.4 – – – – 16.7
GAD/COPE[200][201] 8–13 Oct 2010 501 ? 33.9
130 		43.6
178 		6.3
10 		3.5
14 		1.3
7 		3.6
3 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		0.5
2 		– 9.7
Opina/Cadena SER[202] 7–8 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 34.0 46.5 6.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.6 – – – 12.5
NC Report/La Razón[203] 4–7 Oct 2010 1,000 69.3 32.5
131/134 		46.3
175/178 		7.7
12/15 		4.1
14/15 		1.2
6 		3.6
3/4 		0.9
1/2 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 13.8
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Oct 2010 1,100 ? 35.0
140 		44.0
169 		6.7
9 		3.8
14 		1.2
6 		3.5
4 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 9.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[205][206] 20 Sep–7 Oct 2010 2,329 65 29.4 42.8 6.9 4.8 0.9 5.4 1.1 1.4 – – 13.4
Metroscopia/El País[207][208] 30 Sep 2010 500 75.3 28.5 43.0 – – – – – – – – 14.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[209][210] 20–21 Sep 2010 ? 68.0 31.1 44.6 7.8 3.6 1.0 3.9 1.0 – – – 13.5
GAD/COPE[200][211][212] 13–15 Sep 2010 500 ? 34.9
137 		43.1
174 		6.1
9 		3.4
13 		1.3
7 		3.3
2 		1.2
3 		0.9
2 		0.5
2 		– 8.2
NC Report/La Razón[213] 6–10 Sep 2010 1,000 69.6 35.4
136/138 		45.4
173/175 		6.2
8/9 		4.1
13/14 		1.2
6 		3.6
3/4 		0.9
2 		0.9
2 		0.5
1 		– 10.0
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Sep 2010 1,100 ? 35.2
147 		43.8
165 		6.4
8 		3.7
13 		1.2
6 		3.3
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 8.6
Metroscopia/El País[214][215] 1–2 Sep 2010 500 75.3 32.9 41.8 – – – – – – – – 8.9
Opina/Cadena SER[216][217] 30–31 Aug 2010 1,000 ? 36.5 44.5 6.0 3.5 1.5 2.5 0.6 – – – 8.0
JM&A[174] 6 Aug 2010 ? 68.2 31.6 42.9 5.6 4.0 – 4.7 – – – – 11.3
Celeste-Tel[204] 26–30 Jul 2010 1,100 ? 35.8
147 		43.9
166 		6.3
7 		3.6
13 		1.2
6 		3.2
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 8.1
Metroscopia/El País[218][219] 28–29 Jul 2010 500 75.3 33.6 41.3 – – – – – – – – 7.7
CIS[220][221] 15–22 Jul 2010 2,472 ? 34.9 41.2 5.4 4.1 1.3 3.8 1.4 1.1 0.4 – 6.3
Metroscopia/El País[222] 15 Jul 2010 500 75.3 34.5 43.3 – – – – – – – – 8.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[223] 12–13 Jul 2010 ? 64.3 32.4 43.6 6.2 3.6 1.2 4.1 1.2 – – – 11.2
NC Report/La Razón[224] 5–9 Jul 2010 1,000 69.8 35.8
137/139 		45.2
173/175 		6.3
8/9 		3.7
13/14 		1.2
6 		3.6
3/4 		0.9
2/3 		0.9
2 		0.6
1/2 		– 9.4
GAD/COPE[200][225][226] 5–7 Jul 2010 500 ? 34.6
136 		43.3
176 		5.7
8 		3.4
13 		1.3
7 		3.1
2 		1.3
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		– 8.7
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Jul 2010 1,100 ? 36.1
147 		43.8
165 		5.9
7 		3.6
13 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 7.7
Ipsos[227][228] 30 Jun–2 Jul 2010 1,000 ? 33.3 42.9 5.9 3.7 1.6 3.9 1.3 – – – 9.6
InvyMark/laSexta[229] 28 Jun–2 Jul 2010 ? ? 37.4 44.8 – – – – – – – – 7.4
Metroscopia/El País[230][231] 1 Jul 2010 501 75.3 32.3 43.1 – – – – – – – – 10.8
InvyMark/laSexta[232] 14–18 Jun 2010 ? ? 37.4 45.0 – – – – – – – – 7.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[233][234] 14–15 Jun 2010 ? 67.8 31.6 44.5 7.7 – – 4.3 – – – – 12.9
DYM/ABC[235] 3–10 Jun 2010 1,008 ? 33.5 45.3 6.4 4.2 0.8 2.9 0.9 – – – 11.8
GAD/COPE[236][237] 7–9 Jun 2010 502 ? 34.7
137 		43.6
178 		4.9
5 		3.4
13 		1.2
6 		3.7
3 		1.2
3 		?
2 		?
2 		– 8.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[238] 17 May–9 Jun 2010 ? ? 33.1 41.7 7.5 3.5 1.2 5.5 1.0 1.3 – – 8.6
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Jun 2010 1,100 ? 36.8
149 		43.5
163 		5.9
7 		3.6
13 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 6.7
InvyMark/laSexta[232] 31 May–4 Jun 2010 ? ? 37.2 46.1 – – – – – – – – 8.9
Metroscopia/El País[239][240] 2 Jun 2010 506 75.3 32.5 43.0 – – – – – – – – 10.5
NC Report/La Razón[241][242] 25–28 May 2010 1,000 69.9 36.0
137/139 		45.0
172/174 		6.0
8/9 		3.5
12/13 		1.2
6 		3.7
3/4 		1.0
2/3 		0.9
2/3 		0.7
2 		– 9.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[243][244] 25–27 May 2010 800 ? 35.1 45.6 5.1 3.3 1.2 3.0 0.8 – – – 10.5
GESOP/El Periódico[245][246][247] 17–21 May 2010 1,500 ? 34.0
131/134 		42.0
173/176 		6.4
10/11 		3.6
14/15 		1.0
5/6 		5.0
4/5 		1.0
1/3 		– – – 8.0
InvyMark/laSexta[248][249] 17–21 May 2010 ? ? 39.7 45.1 – – – – – – – – 5.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[250] 20 Apr–19 May 2010 4,002 ? 34.1 40.4 6.5 3.2 1.1 6.4 1.2 1.2 – – 6.3
Metroscopia/El País[251] 13 May 2010 510 75.3 33.7 42.8 – – – – – – – – 9.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252] 13 May 2010 1,000 67.5 32.1 44.3 7.0 3.5 1.1 4.2 0.9 0.6 – – 12.2
GAD/COPE[200][253][254] 10–12 May 2010 500 ? 35.9
140 		42.4
173 		5.2
6 		3.5
13 		1.1
6 		3.9
4 		1.1
3 		0.7
2 		0.7
2 		– 6.5
Simple Lógica[16] 5–11 May 2010 508 ? 34.4 43.2 4.8 2.8 1.3 4.1 – – – – 8.8
Celeste-Tel[204] 3–7 May 2010 1,100 ? 38.2
153 		42.9
161 		5.5
5 		3.5
13 		1.1
6 		3.1
3 		0.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.7
InvyMark/laSexta[248] 3–7 May 2010 ? ? 40.3 45.0 – – – – – – – – 4.7
NC Report/La Razón[255] 26–30 Apr 2010 1,000 70.6 37.4
147/149 		43.8
168/170 		5.8
7/8 		3.4
11/12 		1.1
5/6 		3.7
2/3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 6.4
Metroscopia/El País[256][257] 29 Apr 2010 512 75.3 37.5 41.7 – – – – – – – – 4.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[258][259] 26–27 Apr 2010 1,000 62.0 36.1 41.5 5.4 3.1 1.1 3.0 0.9 0.6 – – 5.4
CIS[260][261] 6–14 Apr 2010 2,479 ? 38.0 39.5 5.8 3.6 1.3 3.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 – 1.5
InvyMark/laSexta[262][263] 5–9 Apr 2010 ? ? 40.6 44.7 – – – – – – – – 4.1
Metroscopia/El País[264][265] 8 Apr 2010 515 75.3 37.8 41.8 – – – – – – – – 4.0
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–8 Apr 2010 1,100 ? 38.3
152 		42.8
162 		5.5
5 		3.5
13 		1.2
6 		3.0
3 		0.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.5
NC Report/La Razón[266] 31 Mar 2010 1,000 70.7 37.6
147/149 		43.6
167/169 		5.7
7/8 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.7
2/3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 6.0
InvyMark/laSexta[262][267] 22–26 Mar 2010 ? ? 40.4 44.8 – – – – – – – – 4.4
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 8–12 Mar 2010 ? ? 40.6 44.6 – – – – – – – – 4.0
GAD/COPE[200][269][270] 8–11 Mar 2010 500 ? 36.6
143 		42.5
170 		4.9
5 		3.5
13 		1.1
6 		4.1
5 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 5.9
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–5 Mar 2010 1,100 ? 38.5
153 		42.6
162 		5.4
5 		3.4
12 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.1
Celeste-Tel/Terra[271] 1–5 Mar 2010 1,357 71.1 38.1
150/155 		43.0
165/170 		5.8
4/6 		3.3
11/12 		1.1
5/6 		3.3
2/3 		1.1
2/3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 4.9
Metroscopia/El País[272][273] 3–4 Mar 2010 500 75.3 37.3 43.4 – – – – – – – – 6.1
NC Report/La Razón[274] 24–26 Feb 2010 1,000 70.7 37.6
148/150 		43.6
167/169 		5.6
6/7 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.7
2/3 		1.1
2 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 6.0
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 22–26 Feb 2010 ? ? 40.5 44.6 – – – – – – – – 4.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[275][276] 22–23 Feb 2010 1,008 ? 34.5 41.4 6.0 3.0 1.0 4.1 0.9 0.6 – – 6.9
Simple Lógica[277][278] 1–11 Feb 2010 1,007 68.9 35.7 46.3 5.3 2.8 0.9 3.9 – – – – 10.6
GAD/COPE[279][280] 3–10 Feb 2010 671 ? 36.3
141 		42.9
172 		5.0
6 		3.2
12 		1.1
6 		3.9
4 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 6.6
NC Report/La Razón[281] 25 Jan–6 Feb 2010 1,000 70.7 37.9
149/150 		43.4
167/169 		5.4
5/6 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.8
2/3 		1.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 5.5
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 1–5 Feb 2010 ? ? 41.0 44.5 – – – – – – – – 3.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Feb 2010 1,100 ? 38.1
150 		42.7
162 		5.8
7 		3.5
12 		1.1
6 		3.6
3 		0.9
3 		1.1
3 		1.0
3 		– 4.6
Metroscopia/El País[283][284] 3–4 Feb 2010 500 75.3 37.5 43.4 – – – – – – – – 5.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[285][286][287] 2–4 Feb 2010 700 ? 37.7 43.5 4.5 3.1 1.2 2.0 1.2 – – – 5.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[288] 11–27 Jan 2010 3,206 ? 37.8 40.4 5.2 2.8 1.2 5.1 1.1 1.2 – – 2.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][289] 25–26 Jan 2010 ? ? 35.0 41.2 5.4 2.9 1.1 3.6 0.9 0.7 – – 6.2
CIS[290][291] 9–21 Jan 2010 2,477 ? 36.2 40.0 6.1 3.7 1.0 4.4 1.3 0.8 0.9 – 3.8
GAD/COPE[292][293] 15 Jan 2010 ? ? 38.8
150 		42.6
169 		4.1
3 		3.4
12 		?
6 		3.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 3.8
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 11–15 Jan 2010 ? ? 41.2 44.3 – – – – – – – – 3.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 4–11 Jan 2010 1,100 ? 38.5
151 		42.6
163 		5.5
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.4
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.1
NC Report/La Razón[294] 8 Jan 2010 ? 71.0 38.2
150/152 		43.3
166/168 		5.1
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.6
2/3 		1.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 5.1
Metroscopia/El País[295][296] 7 Jan 2010 504 75.3 38.2 41.7 – – – – – – – – 3.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia[297] 28–29 Dec 2009 807 ? 39.4
156 		41.3
164 		4.7
4 		3.1
10 		1.1
6 		4.3
4 		0.6
2 		– – – 1.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[298][299][300] 23–29 Dec 2009 1,000 ? 38.5 43.6 4.7 2.7 1.4 2.4 1.4 – – – 5.1
InvyMark/laSexta[301] 21–25 Dec 2009 ? ? 41.2 44.1 – – – – – – – – 2.9
DYM/ABC[302] 11–18 Dec 2009 1,038 ? 38.1 43.3 4.7 3.2 1.2 2.6 1.0 – – – 5.2
GESOP/El Periódico[303][304][305] 14–17 Dec 2009 1,500 ? 36.5
145/150 		42.0
165/170 		4.8
5/6 		3.3
11/12 		1.0
6/7 		4.8
3/5 		1.0
1/3 		– – – 5.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][306] 14–15 Dec 2009 ? ? 35.9 41.1 5.2 2.8 1.2 3.4 1.0 0.8 – – 5.2
GAD/COPE[307] 11 Dec 2009 ? ? 37.9
143 		42.4
169 		?
6 		?
12 		?
4 		?
6 		?
3 		?
2 		?
3 		– 4.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Dec 2009 1,100 ? 38.6
152 		42.4
162 		5.3
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.2
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 3.8
Metroscopia/El País[308][309] 2–3 Dec 2009 732 75.3 38.1 41.5 – – – – – – – – 3.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[310] 9 Nov–2 Dec 2009 3,201 ? 38.0 39.6 5.0 3.0 1.1 5.7 1.3 1.0 – – 1.6
Consultores CSA/La Verdad[311] 29 Nov 2009 ? ? 37.7 41.0 – – – – – – – – 3.3
NC Report/La Razón[312] 23–26 Nov 2009 1,000 71.1 38.3
151/153 		43.0
165/167 		5.2
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.6
2/3 		1.1
2 		– – – 4.7
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][313] 16–17 Nov 2009 ? ? 36.0 42.2 5.3 2.8 0.9 3.3 0.8 0.6 – – 6.2
GAD/COPE[314][315] 6–11 Nov 2009 650 ? 38.1
142 		42.2
167 		– – – – – – – – 4.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Nov 2009 1,100 ? 38.8
152 		42.4
162 		5.3
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.4
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[316][317][318] 4–5 Nov 2009 1,000 ? 39.4 42.6 4.9 3.0 1.1 2.9 1.0 – – – 3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[319] 13 Oct–4 Nov 2009 3,204 ? 36.9 40.5 4.7 3.2 1.4 5.3 1.1 1.4 – – 3.6
NC Report/La Razón[320] 28–30 Oct 2009 1,000 71.6 39.7
155/156 		41.9
163/164 		5.1
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.4
2/3 		1.0
2 		– – – 2.2
Metroscopia/El País[321][322] 28–29 Oct 2009 501 75.3 39.9 40.3 – – – – – – – – 0.4
Ipsos/Expansión[323] 23–25 Oct 2009 1,000 66 40.0 42.0 – – – 1.4 – – – – 2.0
Simple Lógica[324] 15–21 Oct 2009 1,025 66.5 37.4 41.8 3.6 3.3 1.0 3.5 – – – – 4.4
Intercampo/GETS[325][326] 15 Sep–17 Oct 2009 1,739 High 39.5 44.7 4.1 3.2 1.1 2.7 1.1 – – – 5.2
Low 38.7 45.2 4.3 3.3 0.9 2.8 1.1 – – – 6.5
Metroscopia/El País[327] 15 Oct 2009 500 75.3 39.0 41.3 – – – – – – – – 2.3
CIS[328][329] 7–14 Oct 2009 2,478 ? 37.7 41.0 4.7 3.7 1.3 3.7 1.5 0.8 0.5 – 3.3
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Oct 2009 1,100 ? 39.6
153 		42.0
161 		5.2
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.2
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 2.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[330] 16 Sep–7 Oct 2009 3,202 ? 38.0 43.0 4.4 2.2 0.8 5.2 0.8 1.0 – – 5.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[331][332] 5–6 Oct 2009 1,003 ? 36.8 41.4 5.3 3.0 1.1 3.2 1.0 0.6 – – 4.6
NC Report/La Razón[333] 28 Sep–2 Oct 2009 1,000 71.6 39.8
154/155 		42.1
164/165 		5.0
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.2
2/3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 2.3
Metroscopia/El País[334][335] 30 Sep–1 Oct 2009 501 75.3 38.0 41.6 – – – – – – – – 3.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia[336] 28 Sep–1 Oct 2009 1,000 ? 38.0
151 		42.4
169 		5.5
4 		2.5
9 		0.9
5 		4.4
4 		1.4
3 		– – – 4.4
InvyMark/laSexta[337] 21–25 Sep 2009 ? ? 41.0 43.8 – – – – – – – – 2.8
InvyMark/laSexta[338] 7–11 Sep 2009 ? ? 41.1 43.6 – – – – – – – – 2.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Sep 2009 1,100 ? 39.9
154 		41.8
160 		5.1
5 		3.3
12 		1.1
6 		3.1
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 1.9
NC Report/La Razón[339] 1–3 Sep 2009 1,000 71.7 39.9
155/156 		42.0
164/165 		4.9
3/4 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		3.2
2/3 		1.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 2.1
CIS[340][341][342] 7–13 Jul 2009 2,482 ? 39.0
154/158 		40.2
158/161 		4.6
4/5 		3.4
11 		1.2
6 		3.2
3 		1.6
6 		0.8
2 		0.5
2 		– 1.2
InvyMark/laSexta[343] 6–10 Jul 2009 ? ? 41.7 42.9 – – – – – – – – 1.1
Metroscopia/El País[344][345] 8–9 Jul 2009 500 75.3 38.7 41.8 – – – – – – – – 3.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Jul 2009 1,100 ? 40.1
155 		41.7
159 		5.1
5 		3.2
12 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 1.6
NC Report/La Razón[346] 1–3 Jul 2009 1,000 71.7 40.3
156/157 		42.1
162/163 		4.6
3/4 		3.3
11/12 		1.3
6 		3.1
2/3 		1.0
2 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 1.8
InvyMark/laSexta[347][348] 22–26 Jun 2009 ? ? 41.8 42.8 – – – – – – – – 1.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][349] 22–23 Jun 2009 ? ? 39.2 41.7 4.4 3.1 1.1 4.0 1.1 0.6 – – 2.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[350] 25 May–17 Jun 2009 3,200 ? 40.3 41.8 3.9 2.8 0.8 3.7 0.9 0.9 – – 1.5
InvyMark/laSexta[351] 8–12 Jun 2009 ? ? 41.5 42.9 – – – – – – – – 1.4
Metroscopia/El País[352][353] 8–9 Jun 2009 500 75.3 38.9 40.9 – – – – – – – – 2.0
NC Report/La Razón[354] 8 Jun 2009 1,000 71.8 40.2
157/158 		41.8
162/164 		4.8
3/4 		3.3
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.0
2/3 		1.1
2 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 1.6
2009 EP election 7 Jun 2009 — 44.9 38.8
(149) 		42.1
(169) 		3.7
(3) 		2.8
(13) 		1.3
(6) 		2.9
(2) 		1.3
(4) 		0.7
(0) 		0.6
(2) 		0.9
(2) 		3.3
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Jun 2009 1,100 ? 39.7
155 		42.0
159 		5.3
5 		3.3
12 		1.2
6 		3.3
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 2.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[355][356][357] 26–28 May 2009 1,000 ? 40.6 42.8 3.4 – – 2.6 – – – – 2.2
DYM/ABC[358] 25–28 May 2009 1,040 ? 38.7 40.9 3.3 – – 2.2 – – – – 2.2
Noxa/La Vanguardia[359] 25–28 May 2009 1,000 ? 40.8
162/164 		38.0
150/153 		4.2
3 		4.0
14/16 		1.4
6/7 		4.8
5 		0.9
1 		– – – 2.8
InvyMark/laSexta[351][360] 18–22 May 2009 ? ? 41.6 42.0 – – – – – – – – 0.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[361] 27 Apr–20 May 2009 3,206 ? 41.1 42.2 3.7 2.6 1.0 3.5 1.0 0.8 – – 1.1
GESOP/El Periódico[362][363][364] 11–15 May 2009 1,500 ? 38.7
155/157 		42.3
167/169 		3.9
2/3 		3.0
10/11 		0.8
3/4 		3.3
2/3 		0.8
1 		– – – 3.6
Celeste-Tel[282] 4–8 May 2009 1,100 ? 39.9
157 		41.1
158 		5.5
4 		3.3
12 		1.2
6 		3.4
3 		1.1
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 1.2
NC Report/La Razón[365] 27–30 Apr 2009 1,000 70.3 39.1
156/158 		41.5
160/162 		5.6
3/6 		3.5
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.3
2/3 		1.1
2/3 		0.8
2 		0.8
2 		– 2.4
Metroscopia/El País[366][367] 27–28 Apr 2009 505 75.3 39.6 40.8 – – – – – – – – 1.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[368] 24 Mar–22 Apr 2009 3,204 ? 40.0 42.3 3.8 2.8 1.1 3.5 1.0 0.6 – – 2.3
CIS[369][370][342] 14–21 Apr 2009 2,481 ? 40.8
161/165 		40.0
154/156 		4.5
4/5 		3.4
11 		1.0
5/6 		2.9
3 		1.5
5 		0.6
0 		– – 0.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[371][372] 3–8 Apr 2009 900 ? 37.9 42.3 5.0 – – 4.4 – – – – 4.4
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Apr 2009 1,100 ? 40.1
160 		40.9
156 		5.4
4 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		3.3
3 		1.1
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.8
NC Report/La Razón[373] 28 Mar 2009 ? 71.2 39.9
157/159 		40.8
158/161 		5.5
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.3
2/3 		1.1
2/3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2/3 		– 0.9
InvyMark/laSexta[374] 23–27 Mar 2009 ? ? 41.9 41.6 – – – – – – – – 0.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][375] 23–24 Mar 2009 ? ? 41.2 40.5 4.8 3.0 1.0 3.6 1.1 0.5 – – 0.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[376] 25 Feb–18 Mar 2009 3,205 ? 39.2 40.7 5.0 3.2 1.0 3.7 0.9 0.5 – – 1.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Mar 2009 1,100 ? 40.4
161 		40.7
154 		5.3
4 		3.1
11 		1.3
6 		3.2
3 		1.2
4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.3
NC Report/La Razón[377] 4 Mar 2009 ? ? 40.4 40.2 – – – – – – – – 0.2
Simple Lógica[378] 13–23 Feb 2009 1,012 68.5 43.2 37.6 3.7 2.8 1.1 3.2 – – – – 5.6
GESOP/El Periódico[379][380][381] 12–13 Feb 2009 800 ? 41.0
161/164 		38.5
154/156 		4.8
4/5 		2.8
10/11 		1.1
6 		4.4
3/5 		1.0
2 		– – – 2.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Feb 2009 1,100 ? 40.6
162 		40.3
152 		5.2
4 		3.2
12 		1.4
6 		3.3
3 		1.2
4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.3
InvyMark/laSexta[382] 26–30 Jan 2009 ? ? 42.7 41.0 – – – – – – – – 1.7
NC Report/La Razón[383] 26–30 Jan 2009 1,000 70.5 41.7
161/163 		38.5
150/152 		5.3
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.3
6/7 		3.6
3/4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2/3 		0.8
2/3 		– 3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[384] 10–20 Jan 2009 1,600 ? 40.2 36.7 5.0 2.7 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.8 – – 3.5
CIS[385][386][342] 9–19 Jan 2009 2,482 ? 39.7
159/162 		39.5
153/156 		4.5
4/5 		3.4
13/14 		1.1
6 		3.1
3 		1.3
3 		1.0
2 		– – 0.2
InvyMark/laSexta[382] 12–16 Jan 2009 ? ? 42.2 41.2 – – – – – – – – 1.0
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–9 Jan 2009 1,100 ? 40.8
162 		40.6
153 		5.2
4 		3.1
12 		1.3
6 		3.1
3 		1.2
4 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.2
NC Report/La Razón[387] 29 Dec–2 Jan 2009 1,000 71.5 41.6
162/164 		39.6
151/153 		4.9
4/5 		3.3
11/12 		1.3
6 		3.2
3/4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 2.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[388][389] 22–26 Dec 2008 1,000 ? 42.6 39.7 3.4 3.2 1.4 3.1 1.0 – – – 2.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia[390] 15–19 Dec 2008 1,000 ? 40.7
161/164 		37.5
148/152 		4.8
4/5 		3.3
11/13 		1.6
6/7 		5.8
5/6 		1.0
2/3 		– – – 3.2
InvyMark/laSexta[391] 15–19 Dec 2008 ? ? 41.8 41.5 – – – – – – – – 0.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[392] 25 Nov–18 Dec 2008 3,198 ? 41.3 38.9 4.5 2.6 1.2 3.5 1.2 1.1 – – 2.4
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Dec 2008 1,100 ? 40.9
162 		40.5
156 		5.1
4 		3.2
11 		1.3
6 		2.7
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		0.9
2 		– 0.4
InvyMark/laSexta[391] 24–28 Nov 2008 ? ? 42.3 40.8 – – – – – – – – 1.5
NC Report/La Razón[393] 24–27 Nov 2008 1,000 71.2 39.8
155/157 		41.5
161/163 		4.9
4/5 		3.3
10/11 		1.3
6/7 		2.8
2/3 		1.0
2/3 		0.9
2/3 		0.8
2 		– 1.7
DYM/ABC[394] 13–20 Nov 2008 1,012 ? 41.9 42.2 3.7 – – – – – – – 0.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[395] 27 Oct–20 Nov 2008 3,203 ? 41.3 39.2 4.0 3.2 1.2 4.0 1.2 1.0 – – 2.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 3–7 Nov 2008 1,100 ? 41.2
163 		40.9
156 		5.0
4 		3.1
11 		1.2
6 		2.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 0.3
NC Report/La Razón[396][397] 27–30 Oct 2008 1,000 71.7 41.0
159/162 		41.1
158/159 		4.8
4/5 		3.2
10/11 		1.3
6/7 		2.7
2 		1.0
2/3 		– – – 0.1
GESOP/El Periódico[398][399][400] 20–24 Oct 2008 1,500 ? 40.2
154/158 		41.3
160/164 		4.8
4/5 		2.9
10/11 		1.1
6 		2.9
2/3 		1.1
3 		– – – 1.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[401] 29 Sep–23 Oct 2008 3,203 ? 39.4 39.4 3.4 3.8 1.0 4.2 1.3 0.9 – – Tie
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[402][403] 9–10 Oct 2008 ? ? 40.7 42.4 – – – – – – – – 1.7
CIS[404][405] 1–9 Oct 2008 2,481 ? 39.7 39.7 4.3 3.8 1.1 2.9 1.3 1.0 – – Tie
Intercampo/GETS[406][407] 17 Sep–8 Oct 2008 1,729 High 40.4 41.2 4.0 2.7 1.6 3.7 1.2 – – – 0.8
Low 40.5 41.3 4.1 2.7 1.7 3.1 1.1 – – – 0.8
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Oct 2008 1,100 ? 41.4
163 		40.6
155 		5.0
4 		3.0
12 		1.2
6 		2.8
2 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		0.7
2 		– 0.8
Simple Lógica[408] 29 Sep–7 Oct 2008 1,006 72.5 39.7 39.4 4.6 2.8 1.6 2.8 – – – – 0.3
InvyMark/laSexta[409] 29 Sep–3 Oct 2008 ? ? 41.7 41.2 – – – – – – – – 0.5
NC Report/La Razón[410][411] 29 Sep–2 Oct 2008 1,000 71.5 41.2
160/162 		41.0
156/157 		4.6
4/5 		3.2
10 		1.3
6 		2.7
2/3 		0.9
3 		– – – 0.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[412] 8–25 Sep 2008 3,171 ? 38.6 39.4 4.5 3.2 1.3 2.8 1.0 1.2 – – 0.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia[413] 15–18 Sep 2008 1,000 ? 40.6
159/161 		39.6
152/155 		5.2
5/6 		3.1
11/12 		1.2
6 		4.2
3/4 		1.2
2/3 		– – – 1.0
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Sep 2008 1,100 ? 41.4
161 		40.5
154 		5.2
5 		3.3
11 		1.3
6 		2.8
3 		1.2
4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.9
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Aug 2008 1,100 ? 41.8
162 		40.2
154 		5.1
5 		3.3
11 		1.3
6 		2.7
3 		1.3
4 		1.1
2 		0.9
2 		– 1.6
CIS[414][415] 7–13 Jul 2008 2,468 ? 39.5 39.3 4.8 3.3 1.1 2.5 1.5 0.9 – – 0.2
Metroscopia/El País[416][417] 9–10 Jul 2008 703 ? 41.2 41.0 – – – – – – – – 0.2
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Jul 2008 1,100 ? 42.4
164 		40.3
153 		4.4
3 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		2.7
3 		1.3
4 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		– 2.1
InvyMark/laSexta[418] 23–27 Jun 2008 ? ? 43.6 40.0 – – – – – – – – 3.6
Opina/Cadena SER[419][420] 26 Jun 2008 1,000 ? 42.0 41.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 – – – 1.0
ASEP[a][421] 9–15 Jun 2008 1,203 71.3 41.8 39.6 4.6 – – 1.7 – – – – 2.2
Opina/Cadena SER[422][423] 12 Jun 2008 1,000 ? 40.0 40.0 4.0 3.0 1.3 2.0 0.9 – – – Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[424][425][426] 10–12 Jun 2008 1,000 ? 41.3 40.2 4.8 3.2 1.2 2.7 0.9 – – – 1.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Jun 2008 1,100 ? 43.4
168 		39.6
152 		4.3
2 		3.4
11 		1.3
6 		2.7
3 		1.0
3 		1.0
2 		0.9
2 		– 3.8
GESOP/El Periódico[427][428] 26–30 May 2008 1,500 ? 45.0
173/176 		37.3
145/148 		4.2
2/3 		2.8
10 		1.2
6 		2.5
2 		1.0
2/3 		– – – 7.7
ASEP[a][429] 12–18 May 2008 1,209 73.6 43.8 39.3 4.3 – – 1.5 – – – – 4.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–8 May 2008 1,100 ? 44.5
169 		39.4
152 		4.2
2 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		2.6
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 5.1
CIS[430][431] 24–30 Apr 2008 2,459 ? 43.6 37.6 3.9 3.2 1.5 2.6 1.6 1.1 – – 6.0
ASEP[a][432] 14–20 Apr 2008 1,204 76.6 44.1 39.6 4.0 – – 1.3 – – – – 4.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Apr 2008 1,100 ? 44.9
171 		39.5
151 		3.9
2 		3.0
10 		1.2
6 		2.4
2 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		0.7
2 		– 5.4
2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 — 73.8 43.9
169 		39.9
154 		3.8
2 		3.0
10 		1.2
6 		1.2
1 		1.2
3 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 4.0

Voting preferences

[edit]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preference

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Victory likelihood

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Sub-national polling

[edit]
Main article: Sub-national opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

Alternative scenarios

[edit]

PSOE candidates

[edit]

Leadership polling

[edit]
Main article: Leadership opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Elecciones Generales 2011. Sondeo 2011". RTVE (in Spanish). 20 November 2011. Archived from the original on 24 November 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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  4. ^ "El PP ganaría con mayoría absoluta, según un sondeo a pie de urna de RTVE". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 20 November 2011. Archived from the original on 23 November 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  5. ^ "Las encuestas furtivas". ABC (in Spanish). 19 November 2011.
  6. ^ "Encuesta de "The Times" hoy mismo da mayor ventaja aún a PP sobre PSOE (actualizado 17 veces)". El Rincón de la Libertad (in Spanish). 17 November 2011.
  7. ^ "Spain's top man creates closer links with No 10 to out-manoeuvre EU 'dictatorship'". The Times. 17 November 2011.
  8. ^ "El PP camina hacia la mayoría absoluta, con casi 200 escaños". La Región (in Spanish). 13 November 2011.
  9. ^ a b "La campaña amplía el botín del PP y hunde más al PSOE". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 13 November 2011.
  10. ^ "El PP arrasa al PSOE con el mejor resultado de su historia". Intereconomía (in Spanish). 12 November 2011. Archived from the original on 13 November 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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  12. ^ "Izquierda Unida conseguiría su mejor resultado desde Anguita (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 14 November 2011. Archived from the original on 30 November 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  13. ^ "El PP consolida su ventaja de 13 puntos respecto al PSOE". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 November 2011.
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  15. ^ a b "El PP se acerca a los 190 escaños y el PSOE no se asegura ni 120". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 November 2011.
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  298. ^ "El PP encara con 5,1 puntos de ventaja el séptimo año de Zapatero". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2010.
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  300. ^ "El PSOE saca ya más de 5 puntos al PSOE". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2010.
  301. ^ "El barómetro de laSexta concede al PP una ventaja de 2,9 puntos sobre el PSOE". El Plural (in Spanish). 28 December 2009. Archived from the original on 31 December 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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  303. ^ "La crisis hunde al PSOE y el PP ya le saca 5,5 puntos y 20 escaños". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 21 December 2009. Archived from the original on 28 July 2014. Retrieved 28 July 2014.
  304. ^ "La crisis hunde al PSOE y el PP ya le saca 5,5 puntos y 20 escaños". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 21 December 2009.
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  306. ^ "El PP aventaja en más de cinco puntos al PSOE en intención de voto". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 20 December 2009.
  307. ^ "El PP amplía su ventaja sobre el PSOE a 4,5 puntos". COPE (in Spanish). 11 December 2009. Archived from the original on 12 December 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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  311. ^ "Si hoy hubiera elecciones, el PP murciano obtendría el 60% de los votos". Consultores CSA (in Spanish). 29 November 2009.
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  352. ^ "Tabla rasa tras las elecciones europeas". El País (in Spanish). 14 June 2009.
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  354. ^ "Rajoy ganaría las elecciones generales por 7 diputados". La Razón (in Spanish). 9 June 2009. Archived from the original on 12 June 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  355. ^ "El PP supera al PSOE en 2,2 puntos a una semana del 7-J". El Mundo (in Spanish). 31 May 2009.
  356. ^ "Intención de voto al Parlamento Europeo". El Mundo (in Spanish). 31 May 2009.
  357. ^ "El PP gana al PSOE en votos y escaños". El Mundo (in Spanish). 31 May 2009.
  358. ^ "El PP aventaja al PSOE en dos puntos a una semana de las elecciones europeas". ABC (in Spanish). 31 May 2009.
  359. ^ "El PP acorta distancias en España". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 May 2009.
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  369. ^ a b "Barómetro de abril 2009 (Estudio nº 2798. Abril 2009)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2009.
  370. ^ "El CIS da un respiro al PSOE y refleja un empate con el PP a un mes de las europeas". ABC (in Spanish). 8 May 2009.
  371. ^ "El PP supera en 4,4 puntos al PSOE ante las europeas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 April 2009.
  372. ^ "Macroencuesta de El Mundo-Sigma Dos. Valoración sobre elecciones europeas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 11 April 2009.
  373. ^ "La crisis acelera la caída del PSOE y daría la victoria a Rajoy". La Razón (in Spanish). 30 March 2009. Archived from the original on 1 December 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  374. ^ "El PP se acerca al PSOE". laSexta (in Spanish). 28 March 2009.
  375. ^ "Más del % de españoles suspende la gestión del Gobierno". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 26 March 2009.
  376. ^ a b "La operación Gürtel no pasa factura al PP". Público (in Spanish). 5 April 2009. Archived from the original on 7 April 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  377. ^ "Una caída en picado". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 May 2009.[permanent dead link]
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  379. ^ "El PSOE vuelve a ser el más votado a pesar de la recesión". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 21 February 2009. Archived from the original on 24 March 2016. Retrieved 24 October 2015.
  380. ^ "El PSOE vuelve a ser el más votado a pesar de la recesión". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 21 February 2009.
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  382. ^ a b "El PSOE volvería a ganar". laSexta (in Spanish). 2 February 2009. Archived from the original on 3 February 2009.
  383. ^ "PSOE y PP pierden dos millones de votos desde las elecciones". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 February 2009. Archived from the original on 11 December 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  384. ^ a b "El PP sufre otra caída y se sitúa a 3,5 puntos del PSOE". Público (in Spanish). 30 January 2009. Archived from the original on 31 January 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  385. ^ a b "Barómetro de enero 2009 (Estudio nº 2782. Enero 2009)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 12 February 2009.
  386. ^ "La crisis sigue castigando a Zapatero". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 February 2009.
  387. ^ "La crisis pasa factura al PSOE pero el PP volvería a perder las generales". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 January 2009. Archived from the original on 14 January 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  388. ^ "El PSOE aventaja en tres puntos al PP pese a la crisis económica". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2009.
  389. ^ "Encuesta de diciembre de 2008". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2009.
  390. ^ "PSOE y PP pierden votos del 9-M mientras los nacionalistas avanzan". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 January 2009.
  391. ^ a b "Un sondeo de La Sexta sitúa a PP y PSOE en empate técnico". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 21 December 2008.
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  394. ^ "Los electores pasan factura al Gobierno por la crisis y ya sitúan al PP por delante". ABC (in Spanish). 24 November 2008.
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  396. ^ "El PSOE pierde 1,1 millones de votos con respecto al 14-M". La Razón (in Spanish). 3 November 2008.
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  398. ^ "El PSOE pierde apoyos y el PP se coloca un punto por delante". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 2 November 2008. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 24 October 2015.
  399. ^ "El PSOE pierde apoyos y el PP se coloca un punto por delante". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 2 November 2008.
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  402. ^ "La mitad de los españoles vive hoy peor que hace un año". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 9 January 2009. Archived from the original on 9 January 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  403. ^ "Evolución de voto en España". GAD (in Spanish). 7 September 2009. Archived from the original on 8 September 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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  405. ^ "La crisis económica iguala a PSOE y PP en intención de voto". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 November 2008.
  406. ^ a b "Tendencias electorales 2008. El PP adelanta posiciones" (PDF). Fundación Sistema (in Spanish). 29 November 2008.
  407. ^ "La revista de Alfonso Guerra da al PP un 41,3% de votos y al PSOE un 40,5%". Diario Ya (in Spanish). 29 November 2008.
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  409. ^ "El 52,5% de los españoles no quiere que vuelva el PP". Jessferro Blogs (in Spanish). 6 October 2008.
  410. ^ "El PSOE pierde un millón de votos siete meses después de las elecciones". Hazte Oir (in Spanish). 7 October 2008. Archived from the original on 18 October 2015. Retrieved 24 October 2015.
  411. ^ "El PSOE pierde un millón de votos después de las elecciones". Foro Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 7 October 2008.
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  415. ^ "La crisis devora la ventaja del PSOE y el PP le atrapa". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 2 August 2008.
  416. ^ a b "El PSOE dilapida en cuatro meses la ventaja de las elecciones". El País (in Spanish). 14 July 2008.
  417. ^ "Los ciudadanos suspenden a Zapatero cuatro meses después de las elecciones". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 July 2008.
  418. ^ "El PSOE se recupera y ya le saca 3,6 puntos en intención de voto al PP". El Plural (in Spanish). 28 June 2008. Archived from the original on 3 July 2008.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  419. ^ "Rajoy aventaja por primera vez a Zapatero en popularidad". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 1 July 2008.
  420. ^ "Pulsómetro 01/07/2008". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 1 July 2008. Archived from the original on 5 July 2008.
  421. ^ "ASEP Junio 2008: Resumen de resultados del sondeo". ASEP (in Spanish). 15 June 2008.
  422. ^ "PSOE y PP aparecen igualados en intención de voto". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 16 June 2008.
  423. ^ "Pulsómetro 16/06/2008". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 16 June 2008. Archived from the original on 19 June 2008.
  424. ^ "La crisis y la huelga hunden la intención de voto del PSOE y la sitúan a un punto del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 June 2008.
  425. ^ "Intención de voto". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 June 2008.
  426. ^ "La crisis y la huelga hunden la intención de voto del PSOE y lo sitúan sólo un punto por encima del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 June 2008.
  427. ^ "Zapatero rozaría hoy la mayoría absoluta". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 5 June 2008. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 31 March 2013.
  428. ^ a b "El PSOE supera en casi 8 puntos al PP a los tres meses del 9-M". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 5 June 2008. Archived from the original on 16 October 2013. Retrieved 3 August 2013.
  429. ^ "ASEP Mayo 2008: Resumen de resultados del sondeo". ASEP (in Spanish). 18 May 2008.
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  435. ^ "Doce puntos en voto directo y nueve en voto estimado". ABC (in Spanish). 1 May 2011.
  436. ^ "El escándalo de la trama de espías impide al PP capitalizar la crisis". El País (in Spanish). 30 January 2009.
  437. ^ "El escándalo de la trama de espías impide al PP capitalizar la crisis". Aula Electoral (in Spanish). 30 January 2009.
  438. ^ a b "Un sondeo que ratifica la clara ventaja popular". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 October 2010.
  439. ^ "Holgada mayoría absoluta del PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 October 2011.
  440. ^ "Rajoy vencería en las urnas a Rubalcaba por 116 puntos y a Chacón por 14". La Razón (in Spanish). 24 April 2011. Archived from the original on 5 December 2011.
  441. ^ "Rubalcaba y Chacón logran más apoyo que Rajoy". Público (in Spanish). 26 April 2011. Archived from the original on 27 April 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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